GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sandviken 0-0 Ostersunds FK

Original prediction

Ostersunds FK

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.0430.3%33.6%3.3 pts
Draw3.2528.3%26.7%-1.6 pts
Away2.2141.5%39.7%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–011%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SandvikenLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ostersunds FKDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SandvikenOstersunds FK
55.1Attack43.6
51.3Defence67.9
43.6Form56.4
50.6Power58.5
1.11xG1.20
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