Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandviken 1-1 Osters IF
Original prediction
Sandviken
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.4% | 44.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.7% | 22.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.9% | 32.6% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SandvikenDWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Osters IFWWWLL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SandvikenOsters IF
55.0Attack51.7
50.0Defence51.7
43.3Form53.3
49.9Power53.3
1.69xG1.44