Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Sandviken are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Os are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Os hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 1, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 90% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.75/2.25