Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandviken 4-2 Orebro SK
Original prediction
Sandviken
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.5% | 54.8% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.3% | 23.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.2% | 21.6% | -6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SandvikenDLWDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Orebro SKDWLDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SandvikenOrebro SK
51.4Attack34.7
54.2Defence51.4
43.1Form33.3
50.1Power42.2
1.65xG0.85