Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sandviken are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Norrby IF are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Superettan, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40