Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Sandviken are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 39.4-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20