Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sandviken are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Djerv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Djerv hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Djerv holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Djerv
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
9.6%
Djerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40