Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandviken · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sandviken are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Bjarg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandviken hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 6.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sandviken holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandviken
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Sandviken has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60