Sandnes ULFvs
Moss
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandnes ULF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandnes ULF 1-2 Moss
Original prediction
Sandnes ULF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.2% | 49.0% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.1% | 20.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.7% | 31.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sandnes ULF
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Sandnes ULF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00