Sandnes ULFvs
Haugesund
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandnes ULF 1-1 Haugesund
Original prediction
Haugesund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.68 | 19.7% | 21.1% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.50 | 20.4% | 20.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 59.9% | 58.6% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–47%
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60