Sandefjordvs
Start
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandefjord · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandefjord 3-0 Start
Original prediction
Sandefjord
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.3% | 48.1% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.1% | 25.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 29.6% | 26.1% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Sandefjord
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Sandefjord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 5 · avg 4.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20