Sandefjordvs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lillestrom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandefjord 0-2 Lillestrom
Original prediction
Lillestrom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.7% | 34.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.1% | 27.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 37.2% | 38.4% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Lillestrom
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80