GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 5/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sandefjord · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sandefjord are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aalesund are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandefjord hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Eliteserien, while Sandefjord holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sandefjord

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Sandefjord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SandefjordLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AalesundDLDLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SandefjordAalesund
27.1Attack45.8
54.2Defence25.0
31.3Form29.2
40.2Power36.0
1.34xG1.15
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