Sandefjordvs
Aalesund
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 5/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandefjord · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sandefjord are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Aalesund are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sandefjord hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Eliteserien, while Sandefjord holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sandefjord
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Sandefjord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00