Sandefjord IIvs
Sarpsborg 08 II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandefjord II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 4-3 (6%), 3-2 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandefjord II 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II
Original prediction
Sandefjord II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.7% | 44.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.1% | 19.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 36.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.3–25%
Predicted outcome
Sandefjord II
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
Sandefjord II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80