GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 10/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Råde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 3-4 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sandefjord II 0-2 Råde

Original prediction

Råde

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4636.6%35.3%-1.3 pts
Draw4.1321.8%19.5%-2.3 pts
Away2.1741.6%45.2%3.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–36%
  2. 2.3–46%
  3. 3.2–36%

Predicted outcome

Råde

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Råde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sandefjord IIDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
RådeDLDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sandefjord IIRåde
81.8Attack100.0
30.3Defence39.4
50.0Form60.6
54.5Power62.0
3.32xG3.90
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