Sandefjord IIvs
Elverum
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandefjord II 4-3 Elverum
Original prediction
Elverum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.73 | 24.2% | 29.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.6% | 17.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.2% | 53.2% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40