Sandecja Nowy Sączvs
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandecja Nowy Sącz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 4-3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Original prediction
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.4% | 45.0% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 25.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 22.8% | 29.2% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40