Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Home
WD
00
Full time
Tatran Prešov

Tatran Prešov

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz51%
Draw35%
Tatran Prešov14%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
51%
Draw
35%
Tatran Prešov
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
73
Tatran Prešov
9
Defence
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
82
Tatran Prešov
91
Momentum
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
67
Tatran Prešov
33
Danger (xG)
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.80
Tatran Prešov
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.35 xG for Sandecja Nowy Sącz and 1.12 xG for Tatran Prešov — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.23), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.47 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Sandecja Nowy Sącz's Defensive Stability (82) and Tatran Prešov's (91) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Sandecja Nowy Sącz)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Tatran Prešov)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sandecja Nowy Sącz)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Tatran Prešov)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sandecja Nowy SączSandecja Nowy Sącz
DWL
Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov
DL

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Sandecja Nowy Sącz51%
Draw35%
Tatran Prešov14%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Sandecja Nowy Sącz Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Sandecja Nowy Sącz take on Tatran Prešov in Friendlies Clubs.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Pattern These sides have drawn 3 of their last 4 meetings, averaging 1.5 goals per game — a historically tight fixture pattern that aligns with the model's draw projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

These sides have drawn 3 of their last 4 meetings. The historical pattern between these teams consistently produces tight, level results — a fixture tendency the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying numbers are also close.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 4 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Sandecja Nowy Sącz 0Draws 10 Tatran Prešov
Avg goals: 0.0
17 Jul 2026
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
D00
Tatran Prešov

Recent form

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

D
vs Tatran Prešov
17 Jul 2026
00
W
@ Humenné
17 Jul 2026
41
L
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
17 May 2026
13
Tatran Prešov

Tatran Prešov

D
@ Sandecja Nowy Sącz
17 Jul 2026
00
L
@ Komárno
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Tatran Prešov?

GoalVio's model predicts Sandecja Nowy Sącz to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Tatran Prešov?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Tatran Prešov?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Tatran Prešov?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more