Sandecja Nowy Sączvs
Lechia Zielona Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandecja Nowy Sącz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1-3 Lechia Zielona Góra
Original prediction
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.8% | 41.1% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 27.9% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.3% | 31.0% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Sandecja Nowy Sącz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00