Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Telmo 0-0 Los Andes, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Telmo 0-0 Los Andes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 31.7% | 23.5% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.5% | 39.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.8% | 36.9% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.75 · Draw 1.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Projected Score
San Telmo 0–0 Los Andes
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San TelmoLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Los AndesDLLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San TelmoLos Andes
27.2Attack25.6
59.3Defence80.8
33.3Form43.6
42.1Power51.4
0.38xG0.60