San Telmovs
Ferro Carril Oeste
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Telmo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ferro Carril Oeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40