San Telmovs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Telmo 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Telmo 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.6% | 32.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.23 | 40.6% | 39.1% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.8% | 28.8% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw 1.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
San Telmo 0–0 Defensores De Belgrano
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San TelmoLWWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores De BelgranoLDLWW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San TelmoDefensores De Belgrano
28.3Attack25.3
62.6Defence67.7
37.4Form37.4
44.9Power45.5
0.59xG0.52