San Telmovs
Ciudad de Bolívar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Telmo are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80