San Telmovs
CA Estudiantes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Telmo 0-0 CA Estudiantes, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Telmo 0-1 CA Estudiantes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.4% | 26.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 33.4% | 37.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 37.2% | 36.8% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
San Telmo 0–0 CA Estudiantes
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San TelmoWDLWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CA EstudiantesWLDLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San TelmoCA Estudiantes
26.4Attack29.9
62.1Defence71.3
35.6Form44.8
43.6Power50.5
0.48xG0.64