San Telmovs
Almirante Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Telmo 0-0 Almirante Brown, with an exact score probability of 42%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Telmo 3-2 Almirante Brown
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 34.1% | 25.3% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 33.8% | 41.2% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 32.0% | 33.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
San Telmo 0–0 Almirante Brown
Exact score probability: 42%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San TelmoWLWDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownLLDDW
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.20/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San TelmoAlmirante Brown
26.9Attack24.7
63.4Defence80.6
36.6Form49.5
44.4Power53.9
0.37xG0.52