GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Los Andes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Andes hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelDWLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Los AndesDWWLW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San MiguelLos Andes
26.4Attack29.0
68.1Defence84.1
40.3Form47.8
46.9Power55.0
0.37xG0.53
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