San Miguelvs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 6/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.2 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80