GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Central Norte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MiguelDDLDW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Central NorteDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San MiguelCentral Norte
26.4Attack21.7
68.1Defence65.2
40.3Form33.3
46.9Power42.8
0.61xG0.38
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