San Miguelvs
Almirante Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Miguel are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Almirante Brown hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 0 · avg 0.60/0.00