Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:36
San Miguel

San Miguel

Home
LD
00
Full time
Acassuso

Acassuso

Away
LD
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
San Miguel(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
San Miguel
40%
Draw
27%
Acassuso
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Miguel
18
Acassuso
54
Defence
San Miguel
66
Acassuso
27
Momentum
San Miguel
17
Acassuso
17
Danger (xG)
San Miguel
0.45
Acassuso
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (San Miguel)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Acassuso)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (San Miguel)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Acassuso)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San MiguelSan Miguel
LD
AcassusoAcassuso
LDL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
San Miguel40%
Draw27%
Acassuso33%

San Miguel leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Miguel head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Malvinas Argentinas in mixed form (LD), while Acassuso arrive in mixed form (LD). San Miguel have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Acassuso over 2 games.

The model rates San Miguel's attack at 18/100 against a 27/100 Acassuso defence, and Acassuso's attack at 54/100 against a 66/100 San Miguel backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

San Miguel have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Acassuso have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between San Miguel and Acassuso in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Miguel to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: San Miguel 4020%, Draw 2710%, Acassuso 3270%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

San Miguel

San Miguel

L
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
11 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Central Norte
5 Jul 2026
11
Acassuso

Acassuso

L
@ Racing Cordoba
12 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Chaco For Ever
5 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Miguel vs Acassuso?

GoalVio's model predicts San Miguel to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Miguel vs Acassuso?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in San Miguel vs Acassuso?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Miguel vs Acassuso?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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