Argentina · Reserve League · 5/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Riva. Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
San Martín San Juan Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Independiente Riva. Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Riva. Res. hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (17.3 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Riva. Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Riva. Res.
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
14.9%
Independiente Riva. Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00