GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

San Martín San Juan Res. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (17.3 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

89.8%

Model confidence

16.6%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín San Juan Res.LLLLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente Res.WLLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín San Juan Res.Independiente Res.
24.2Attack76.8
0.0Defence69.6
16.7Form69.6
17.3Power69.4
0.42xG3.42
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