San Martín Mendozavs
Fundacion Amigos
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martín Mendoza 0-0 Fundacion Amigos, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martín Mendoza 0-2 Fundacion Amigos
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 33.4% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.4% | 38.7% | 8.3 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 20.9% | 28.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
San Martín Mendoza 0–0 Fundacion Amigos
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60