GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Mendoza are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Costa Brava are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Mendoza hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 46.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín MendozaLWLDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Costa BravaLDDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Martín MendozaCosta Brava
28.1Attack26.3
68.4Defence71.9
45.6Form36.8
49.9Power46.9
0.52xG0.45
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