San Martín Mendozavs
Circulo Deportivo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martín Mendoza 0-0 Circulo Deportivo, with an exact score probability of 42%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martín Mendoza 2-0 Circulo Deportivo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 38.2% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.1% | 39.8% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.6% | 22.0% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Projected Score
San Martín Mendoza 0–0 Circulo Deportivo
Exact score probability: 42%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80