Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
San Martín Burzaco

San Martín Burzaco

Home
W
12
Full time
Sportivo Italiano

Sportivo Italiano

Away
WD
Francisco Boga Stadium
GoalVio prediction
36% confidence
Sportivo Italiano(38%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
San Martín Burzaco
27%
Draw
35%
Sportivo Italiano
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Martín Burzaco
73
Sportivo Italiano
34
Defence
San Martín Burzaco
66
Sportivo Italiano
82
Momentum
San Martín Burzaco
100
Sportivo Italiano
67
Danger (xG)
San Martín Burzaco
1.80
Sportivo Italiano
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (San Martín Burzaco)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Sportivo Italiano)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (San Martín Burzaco)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sportivo Italiano)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
WL
Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano
WD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
San Martín Burzaco27%
Draw35%
Sportivo Italiano38%

Sportivo Italiano leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

San Martín Burzaco head into this in Primera B Metropolitana fixture at Francisco Boga Stadium in mixed form (W), while Sportivo Italiano arrive in mixed form (WD). San Martín Burzaco have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for Sportivo Italiano over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — San Martín Burzaco (66/100) and Sportivo Italiano (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

San Martín Burzaco have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Sportivo Italiano have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between San Martín Burzaco and Sportivo Italiano in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Sportivo Italiano to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: San Martín Burzaco 2730%, Draw 3500%, Sportivo Italiano 3770%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

San Martín Burzaco

San Martín Burzaco

W
@ Ituzaingó
14 Jul 2026
21
L
vs Talleres Remedios
16 May 2026
02
Sportivo Italiano

Sportivo Italiano

W
vs Villa San Carlos
14 Jul 2026
10
D
vs Real Pilar
5 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts Sportivo Italiano to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in San Martín Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Martín Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more