GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Burzaco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Real Pilar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

24.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín BurzacoLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real PilarDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
San Martín BurzacoReal Pilar
32.2Attack37.9
65.5Defence64.4
41.4Form50.6
47.8Power53.6
0.73xG0.74
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