GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 3/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martín Burzaco · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Burzaco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ituzaingó are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while San Martín Burzaco holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Martín Burzaco

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

43.2%

San Martín Burzaco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín BurzacoDDLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ItuzaingóDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín BurzacoItuzaingó
31.1Attack21.1
66.7Defence47.8
41.1Form14.4
47.8Power30.9
1.11xG0.39
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