San Martín Burzacovs
Deportivo Laferrere
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martín Burzaco 0-0 Deportivo Laferrere, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martín Burzaco 2-1 Deportivo Laferrere
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 36.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.8% | 32.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 29.7% | 31.4% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
San Martín Burzaco 0–0 Deportivo Laferrere
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20