GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 5/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Burzaco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Brown DE Adrogue are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

32.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín BurzacoDLLDW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Brown DE AdrogueWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín BurzacoBrown DE Adrogue
32.2Attack21.8
65.5Defence65.5
41.4Form35.6
47.8Power43.6
0.73xG0.42
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