San Martín Burzacovs
Argentino de Merlo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martín Burzaco 0-0 Argentino de Merlo, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martín Burzaco 2-1 Argentino de Merlo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.8% | 38.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.3% | 34.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
San Martín Burzaco 0–0 Argentino de Merlo
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00