GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/19/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martin Tucuman are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin TucumanWDDDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Tristan SuarezDLWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanTristan Suarez
30.6Attack33.3
72.2Defence82.6
43.1Form60.9
50.3Power61.0
0.42xG0.53
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