San Martin Tucumanvs
Nueva Chicago
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/15/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin Tucuman are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nueva Chicago are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Tucuman hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60