San Martin Tucumanvs
Midland
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Midland, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin Tucuman 3-2 Midland
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 43.3% | 31.8% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 32.4% | 34.6% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.4% | 33.6% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Midland
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San Martin TucumanLWDLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MidlandWDLWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanMidland
35.4Attack38.4
66.7Defence73.7
43.4Form51.5
50.2Power55.9
0.59xG0.72