GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 4/19/2023, 7:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Martin Tucuman are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Copa Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin TucumanLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MoronDDLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin TucumanDeportivo Moron
16.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power53.0
1.09xG0.97
View match centre →