San Martin Tucumanvs
Club Atlético Güemes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/30/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin Tucuman · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin Tucuman 1-0 Club Atlético Güemes, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin Tucuman 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes
Original prediction
San Martin Tucuman
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.3% | 59.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.1% | 27.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 6.27 | 14.6% | 13.0% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
San Martin Tucuman
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
San Martin Tucuman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40