Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 12 July 2026Last updated 12:40
San Martin Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman

Home
30
Full time
Almagro

Almagro

Away
Estadio La Ciudadela
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Almagro(37%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: San Martin Tucuman
Win probability
San Martin Tucuman
28%
Draw
35%
Almagro
37%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
San Martin Tucuman28%
Draw35%
Almagro37%

Almagro leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

San Martin Tucuman head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio La Ciudadela in unknown form, while Almagro arrive in unknown form.

San Martin Tucuman have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Almagro have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between San Martin Tucuman and Almagro in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Almagro to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: San Martin Tucuman 2827%, Draw 3500%, Almagro 3673%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

GoalVio's model predicts Almagro to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Martin Tucuman vs Almagro?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more