GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Martin Tucuman · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: San Martin Tucuman 0-0 Agropecuario, with an exact score probability of 29%.

Prediction record

Final result

San Martin Tucuman 3-0 Agropecuario

Original prediction

San Martin Tucuman

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8649.3%43.7%-5.6 pts
Draw3.0230.4%34.0%3.6 pts
Away4.5120.3%22.3%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.6 pts

Projected Score

San Martin Tucuman 0–0 Agropecuario

Exact score probability: 29%

Predicted outcome

San Martin Tucuman

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

San Martin Tucuman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin TucumanLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioWDLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanAgropecuario
32.1Attack29.8
69.0Defence63.1
42.9Form39.3
49.9Power46.0
0.78xG0.51
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