San Martin S.J.vs
Tristan Suarez
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: San Martin S.J. 0-0 Tristan Suarez, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
San Martin S.J. 0-0 Tristan Suarez
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.0% | 29.4% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.5% | 36.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.5% | 34.4% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
San Martin S.J. 0–0 Tristan Suarez
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
San Martin S.J.LWWWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezDWLWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin S.J.Tristan Suarez
36.9Attack36.9
67.9Defence82.1
48.8Form61.9
53.6Power62.1
0.51xG0.68