Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Monday, 20 July 202619:00Updated today
San Martin S.J.

San Martin S.J.

Home
W
vs
19:00
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
San Martin S.J.(42%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
San Martin S.J.
42%
Draw
27%
Tristan Suarez
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
San Martin S.J.
73
Tristan Suarez
34
Defence
San Martin S.J.
91
Tristan Suarez
91
Momentum
San Martin S.J.
100
Tristan Suarez
100
Danger (xG)
San Martin S.J.
1.80
Tristan Suarez
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (San Martin S.J.)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Tristan Suarez)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (San Martin S.J.)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Tristan Suarez)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.
WD
Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez
WD

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
San Martin S.J.42%
Draw27%
Tristan Suarez31%

San Martin S.J. leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

San Martin S.J. head into this in Primera Nacional fixture in mixed form (W), while Tristan Suarez arrive in mixed form (W). San Martin S.J. have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Tristan Suarez over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — San Martin S.J. (91/100) and Tristan Suarez (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

San Martin S.J. have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Tristan Suarez have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between San Martin S.J. and Tristan Suarez in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects San Martin S.J. to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: San Martin S.J. 4197%, Draw 2747%, Tristan Suarez 3056%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

San Martin S.J.

San Martin S.J.

W
@ Club Atlético Güemes
12 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Platense
13 May 2026
00
Tristan Suarez

Tristan Suarez

W
vs Nueva Chicago
11 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

GoalVio's model predicts San Martin S.J. to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more