San Martin S.J.vs
Patronato
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin S.J. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Patronato are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60